Arch madness seeding

[Stickboy46]

For those that know this stuff better than me, if both wsu and isu win out can wsu rpi pass up isu? Creeping closer

Barring an epic collapse by ISUs non con and WSUs non con winning out... I don't think it's possible

[Rollbird5]

Thanks Wufan and Stickboy. Now hopefully we can win out so the tiebreaker comes into play

[Stickboy46]

Thanks Wufan and Stickboy. Now hopefully we can win out so the tiebreaker comes into play

You have a good chance if MM is ok.

[hot nuts]

The birds seem extremely vulnerable right now. I almost expect them to lose one of these last two.

[chitown fanatic]

eagerly awaiting the hacksaw update. the only sure thing in st Louis is no play in teams will win

[hot nuts]

eagerly awaiting the hacksaw update. the only sure thing in st Louis is no play in teams will win

I'll wager you that at least half of them win on Thursday.

[chitown fanatic]

eagerly awaiting the hacksaw update. the only sure thing in st Louis is no play in teams will win

I'll wager you that at least half of them win on Thursday.

Touche...nice

[Hacksaw]

The final 1,024 scenarios:

[Hacksaw]

Weighted probabilities:

[Hacksaw]

Tonight's WSU-UE game has some small seeding implications on a few more teams than just those involved.

With a WSU win:
*Evansville is eliminated from the #6 seed (previously 0.5% chance weighted, 4.7% unweighted), and locked into Thursday night
*Bradley is eliminated from the #6 seed (previously 0.3% chance weighted, 2.3% unweighted), and locked into Thursday night
*Missouri State is eliminated from the #7 seed (previously 0.8% chance weighted, 5.5% unweighted), and locked into Friday
*Loyola is eliminated from the #8 seed (previously 0.1% chance weighted, 3.1% unweighted)
*Drake and Loyola would be the only possible remaining Thursday-Friday flip (3.6% weighted chance, 12.5% unweighted) if Drake beats Loyola, Drake beats Bradley, and SIU beats Loyola

With a UE win:
*No teams are eliminated from potential seeds that are a current possibility, however many odds will change drastically due to the expected rarity of this outcome