2020 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[Kyle@MOState]

Paul Lusk was an issue. He could recruit pretty well, but was never a competent in game tactician... He never ran set plays to close games out, and we would often lose games in the final seconds. Coach Ford (At least up to this point) seems to be much of the same. I think he is a better recruiter, but again he even admits that he's not an X's and O's guy. We still have no plays or plans on how to close out tight games. I do think lack of chemistry did play a role in some of the woes this season, but if we had plans on how to close out games, we would probably be singing more praises for Ford. Missouri State has lost 8 games by 4 points or less points. They have only won 3 games by 4 or less.

The Bears overachieved last year by relying on chemistry from two 4 year guys, one high major transfer with high character, and a steady dose of feeding Tulio inside. They also switched to a fake motion offense because we didn't have enough depth on the bench. They were able to win enough games in a down year for the Valley to avoid Thursday. They also went in to St Louis on a bit of a losing streak once other teams got them figured out.

This year, I am not sure if the players bought too much in to the hype, and expected to out talent everyone, but the first game of the season should have been a wake up call for that. It took awhile to find a rotation that worked, and effort ticked up when they started seeing some positive results. That's why that egg they laid at Valpo was such a buzzkill. Valpo played faster and shot better, not to take anything away from them... It's not over yet. I still think Bears beat Salukis tomorrow, just gotta hope for the right results in Terre Haute

[VUGrad1314]

Good win Trees... Go SIU... We don't deserve it but since you're our only hope and our destiny is in your hands I'm pulling for you. But if Missouri State wins that's fine because Thursday is exactly what today's effort deserves as far as Valpo is concerned...

[mvfcfan]

Unless I figured things out wrong here are your locked seeds.

1 UNI
2 LUC
3 INSU
4 BU
5 SIU
6
7
8
9 ILSU
10 UE

[VUGrad1314]

Congrats on the six seed Bears. Good luck in the tournament. We both had our shot You guys earned it we didn't. The right team is getting the sixth seed.

[mvfcfan]

The bracket:

1 UNI
8 VU / 9 ILSU

4 BU
5 SIU

2 LUC
7 VU / 10 UE

3 INSU
6 MSU

[Kyle@MOState]

The bracket:

1 UNI
8 VU / 9 ILSU

4 BU
5 SIU

2 LUC
7 VU / 10 UE

3 INSU
6 MSU

Thanks, Trees. See you Friday Night.

[swellafelon]

The bracket:

1 UNI
8 VU / 9 ILSU

4 BU
5 SIU

2 LUC
7 VU / 10 UE

3 INSU
6 MSU

Man does Valpo have a rough road at the Arch!
Not only do they have to play on Thursday, but they have to play back to back games on Thursday.
But I guess they're still in better shape than Drake, who didn't get invited to Arch Madness at all.

[Hacksaw]

Barring any completely unexpected NET shifts:

[VUGrad1314]

Congratulations Missouri State. I said it before and I'll say it again you guys totally earned it beyond any shadow of a doubt. I'm happy for you guys and feel that the right team received the 6th seed... (I'm not going to blame injuries because we lost by so much I don't know if a healthy team would have made any difference) but I'll be real with you guys I'm very sad... This just sucks... We needed this so badly for the growth of our program, recruiting purposes, and optimism for the fans going into next year and we had it... It was right there... We had control of our own destiny which is all a young inconsistent team that started as poorly as we did through 12 games could ever hope to ask for and we just couldn't finish... "But we just couldn't finish" is the story of our season It's been the story of our tenure in the MVC and the entire Lottich era... I love this league I love the competition but failing as consistently as we do really hurts... I love this league almost as much as I love Valpo and I think I've made that clear in my posts... I hope one day we will become a credit to this league but I am so afraid that that day will never come for us... I didn't get extremely hyped up and excited to see us move up into this league only to watch the team become a permanent drain on the conference now that we're here... If that happens I can't tell you how sorry and embarrassed I will be and unfortunately I can totally see it happening...

[cpacmel]

Barring any completely unexpected NET shifts:

NET between Mo State and Valpo is super close though right?