When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

by **Mikovio** » March 1st, 2019, 7:32 am

Article in the Peoria Journal Star on Hacksaw:

https://www.pjstar.com/sports/20190228/ ... ment-seeds

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by **Saluki 4 Life** » March 1st, 2019, 8:00 am

Mikovio wrote:Article in the Peoria Journal Star on Hacksaw:

https://www.pjstar.com/sports/20190228/ ... ment-seeds

This is awesome. Doing this for so many years you deserve props. Some of these conferences would be doing themselves some good to offer you a job working for them. If Joe Lunardi has a job projecting brackets surely a company has room for a guy who can give predictions on tournament seedings heading into conference tournaments. Fans eat this stuff up, as evidence by how everyone on this board feels about the graphs. We wait with anticipation after a win for them and reluctantly click the thread when we lose but the point is we just keep coming back, we can't get enough. ESPN would get a lot of clicks on a link to every conference and clicks run the sports world.

by **Majik45** » March 1st, 2019, 8:24 am

Mikovio wrote:Article in the Peoria Journal Star on Hacksaw:

https://www.pjstar.com/sports/20190228/ ... ment-seeds

Another great article by Dave Reynold's. Bradley fans are a little spoiled when it comes to our beat writer. Great to know a little more information about Hacksaw.

by **Hacksaw** » March 1st, 2019, 9:19 am

Thanks all! Again, I absolutely love this stuff, and I'm just happy to share it with all of you. Glad to know others find it as interesting as I do. Also, to follow up on the article from Dave, I'm working on building some ArchMadness projections and I'll share here when ready. I'm thinking something along the lines of Kenpom's log5 conference tournament projections.

by **BirdsEyeView** » March 1st, 2019, 9:33 am

Hacksaw wrote:Thanks all! Again, I absolutely love this stuff, and I'm just happy to share it with all of you. Glad to know others find it as interesting as I do. Also, to follow up on the article from Dave, I'm working on building some ArchMadness projections and I'll share here when ready. I'm thinking something along the lines of Kenpom's log5 conference tournament projections.

Buy you a beer at Arch if you let me. Send me a PM.

by **Hacksaw** » March 1st, 2019, 11:37 am

I'm not totally positive if this tells us much more than we already suspect at the moment, but nonetheless some Arch Madness projections. The below chart is compiled from 10,000 simulations of each of the 32 remaining scenarios which are then weighted and aggregated. I will update this again, probably on Sunday, after the seeds are finalized.

by **Hacksaw** » March 2nd, 2019, 6:56 pm

Here y'all go:

by **hot nuts** » March 2nd, 2019, 9:49 pm

My predicitons:

Thur: Indiana State and Illinois State
Fri: Loyola (close), Bradley, Illinois State, Southern Ill (best game of the tourney)
Saturday: Loyola (easy), Southern Ill (probably not close)
Sunday: Southern Ill.

by **Hacksaw** » March 3rd, 2019, 9:45 am

Arch Madness projections from 10,000 simulations of the tournament using Sagarin Predictor ratings:

by **agernes** » March 3rd, 2019, 10:31 am

Hacksaw wrote:Arch Madness projections from 10,000 simulations of the tournament using Sagarin Predictor ratings:

Just OOC, how are you using predictor? I know Kenpom uses a standard deviation of 11 for win probs

When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

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