When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

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Re: When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

Postby Hacksaw » March 3rd, 2019, 11:38 am

agernes wrote:Just OOC, how are you using predictor? I know Kenpom uses a standard deviation of 11 for win probs


Years ago, I used a polynomial regression calculation of data points from rpiforecast.com (which used Sagarin's predictor) to determine the relationship between the point spread and win probability. Testing the normal distribution tells me that the standard deviation with this approach is roughly 12 points.
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Re: When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

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Re: When do we get our first Hacksaw graph?

Postby chitown fanatic » March 3rd, 2019, 1:52 pm

BirdsEyeView wrote:
Hacksaw wrote:Here you go:
Image


Sooo basically everyone is going to be tied for 2nd thru 9th. Makes sense.



So this is a good example why Hacksaw hadn't liked to post the graph until 4 games were remaining....BU had a 4% on Jan 25th of not playing in......Wow...(doesn't matter, I still like the graphs as early as possible :) )
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