Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Snaggletooth » November 25th, 2013, 7:56 pm

agrinut wrote:Isn't it a little early to proclaim possible/not possible at large? The valley had 6 teams in the top 100 right now. Think we are a little premature on who could and could not be an at large.


Nope. We are right in the middle of what defines a team as an at-large or not.

But if it bother you that much that there is conjecture you might lobby the moderators to shut the board down until March 1 so there won't be any speculation.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby agrinut » November 25th, 2013, 8:22 pm

Snaggletooth wrote:
agrinut wrote:Isn't it a little early to proclaim possible/not possible at large? The valley had 6 teams in the top 100 right now. Think we are a little premature on who could and could not be an at large.


Nope. We are right in the middle of what defines a team as an at-large or not.

But if it bother you that much that there is conjecture you might lobby the moderators to shut the board down until March 1 so there won't be any speculation.


Someone is a little sensitive.... The shocks and trees have no better at large chance today than the aces, let's get through November before we claim we only have 2 chances.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Black » November 25th, 2013, 8:30 pm

agrinut wrote:The shocks and trees have no better at large chance today than the aces, let's get through November before we claim we only have 2 chances.


That would be a false statement. Anything can happen, but as of "today" like you stated, WSU has more pedigree and a nice ranking, and Indiana State clearly has a really good road win to put both of them well above the Aces in at-large pecking order.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Snaggletooth » November 25th, 2013, 9:00 pm

agrinut wrote:
Snaggletooth wrote:
agrinut wrote:Isn't it a little early to proclaim possible/not possible at large? The valley had 6 teams in the top 100 right now. Think we are a little premature on who could and could not be an at large.


Nope. We are right in the middle of what defines a team as an at-large or not.

But if it bother you that much that there is conjecture you might lobby the moderators to shut the board down until March 1 so there won't be any speculation.


Someone is a little sensitive.... The shocks and trees have no better at large chance today than the aces, let's get through November before we claim we only have 2 chances.


It is clear you don't understand math. Evansville has ~12% chance of having a good enough record of being an at-large team. Now if they win 2 or 3 of the games they are projected to lose over the next 6 or 7 games they could improve those odds.

WSU and ISUB have much greater probabilities of having a at-large resume of greater 70-80%. Now if they lose some games that they are expected to win, then those probabilities will be reduced.

And yes, there are teams in the MVC who have basically no chance at an at-large: SIU, ISUR and Loyalla
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby agrinut » November 25th, 2013, 9:27 pm

Snaggletooth wrote:
agrinut wrote:
Snaggletooth wrote:
Someone is a little sensitive.... The shocks and trees have no better at large chance today than the aces, let's get through November before we claim we only have 2 chances.


It is clear you don't understand math. Evansville has ~12% chance of having a good enough record of being an at-large team. Now if they win 2 or 3 of the games they are projected to lose over the next 6 or 7 games they could improve those odds.

WSU and ISUB have much greater probabilities of having a at-large resume of greater 70-80%. Now if they lose some games that they are expected to win, then those probabilities will be reduced.

And yes, there are teams in the MVC who have basically no chance at an at-large: SIU, ISUR and Loyalla


You don't understand math, right now the aces have as many losses as the shocks. Let's not act like Wichita was bred by the king. Until the first conference games are played you have a bunch of projections. The shockers could lose every game in 2014. By the way you are really easy to bait.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Snaggletooth » November 25th, 2013, 10:01 pm

agrinut wrote:
You don't understand math, right now the aces have as many losses as the shocks.


Nobody respects EU, their start it "fools" gold. They will actually have to do something in their next 6 games to change that perception.

Let's not act like Wichita was bred by the king. Until the first conference games are played you have a bunch of projections. The shockers could lose every game in 2014. By the way you are really easy to bait.


well there is 0.001% chance of that happening. WSU is the KING. Maybe there will be some scraps for you in the NIT or CBE.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Ali » December 4th, 2013, 1:08 pm

Almost damn near 100% one bid until WSU loses in St. Louis again. So I say we'll get 2!
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Cdizzle » December 4th, 2013, 1:20 pm

Ali wrote:Almost damn near 100% one bid until WSU loses in St. Louis again. So I say we'll get 2!


Sounds about right.
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby Black » December 4th, 2013, 4:40 pm

Ali wrote:Almost damn near 100% one bid until WSU loses in St. Louis again. So I say we'll get 2!


When's the last time UNI even won a game in St. Louis?
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Re: Odds the MVC is a one bid league?

Postby TheAsianSensation » December 4th, 2013, 10:30 pm

I'm starting to worry.
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