agrinut wrote:Snaggletooth wrote:agrinut wrote:Isn't it a little early to proclaim possible/not possible at large? The valley had 6 teams in the top 100 right now. Think we are a little premature on who could and could not be an at large.
Nope. We are right in the middle of what defines a team as an at-large or not.
But if it bother you that much that there is conjecture you might lobby the moderators to shut the board down until March 1 so there won't be any speculation.
Someone is a little sensitive.... The shocks and trees have no better at large chance today than the aces, let's get through November before we claim we only have 2 chances.
It is clear you don't understand math. Evansville has ~12% chance of having a good enough record of being an at-large team. Now if they win 2 or 3 of the games they are projected to lose over the next 6 or 7 games they could improve those odds.
WSU and ISUB have much greater probabilities of having a at-large resume of greater 70-80%. Now if they lose some games that they are expected to win, then those probabilities will be reduced.
And yes, there are teams in the MVC who have basically no chance at an at-large: SIU, ISUR and Loyalla