MVCfans.com Arch Madness seeding probabilities

[Hacksaw]

Quick update with 7 games to go. After tonight's games comes out the fancy 32-row color coded probability chart.

MVC.png (28.67 KiB) Viewed 1378 times

[ihsi]

I live this stuff. Too bad there's not much drama this year.

[Hacksaw]

I live this stuff. Too bad there's not much drama this year.

There is a little bit left, but definitely nothing like the last game of the 2012 season where Indiana State is tied with 5 1/2 minutes left in a game that gives them either the 3 or 8 seed.

[GOREDBIRDS4]

I live this stuff. Too bad there's not much drama this year.

There is a little bit left, but definitely nothing like the last game of the 2012 season where Indiana State is tied with 5 1/2 minutes left in a game that gives them either the 3 or 8 seed.

What needs to happen for ISU be in the 3v6 game, but not against UNI?

Also, could we see the graphic not weighted with 7 games left?

thanks Hacksaw!

[agrinut]

I live this stuff. Too bad there's not much drama this year.

There is a little bit left, but definitely nothing like the last game of the 2012 season where Indiana State is tied with 5 1/2 minutes left in a game that gives them either the 3 or 8 seed.

What needs to happen for ISU be in the 3v6 game, but not against UNI?

Also, could we see the graphic not weighted with 7 games left?

thanks Hacksaw!

They would have to win out and need MSU to lose to Wichita.

[Hacksaw]

What needs to happen for ISU be in the 3v6 game, but not against UNI?

Also, could we see the graphic not weighted with 7 games left?

5 games that matter for your scenrio - In@Il, S@N, N@In, M@W, Il@S
Winners needed for ISU 3 seed vs non-UNI 6 seed
In S N W Il
Il S N W Il
Il N In W Il
Winners needed for ISU 6 seed vs non-UNI 3 seed
In S N M S
In S N W S
In S In M S
In S In W S
In N In M S
Il S N M S


See below for the non-weighted scenarios.

MVC.png (21.5 KiB) Viewed 1182 times

[GOREDBIRDS4]

What needs to happen for ISU be in the 3v6 game, but not against UNI?

Also, could we see the graphic not weighted with 7 games left?

5 games that matter for your scenrio - In@Il, S@N, N@In, M@W, Il@S
Winners needed for ISU 3 seed vs non-UNI 6 seed
In S N W Il
Il S N W Il
Il N In W Il
Winners needed for ISU 6 seed vs non-UNI 3 seed
In S N M S
In S N W S
In S In M S
In S In W S
In N In M S
Il S N M S


See below for the non-weighted scenarios.

MVC.png

Thanks. You're the best

[shocks771]

Looks like if all the home teams win on Saturday there will be a four way tie for 3rd place. It will be interesting to see how those 3-6 spots pan out on Saturday.

[PantherSigEp]

Looks like if all the home teams win on Saturday there will be a four way tie for 3rd place. It will be interesting to see how those 3-6 spots pan out on Saturday.

UNI fans would gladly take a tie. Ruining (without injury) Odum's senior day would be preferable though.

[Hacksaw]

Looks like if all the home teams win on Saturday there will be a four way tie for 3rd place. It will be interesting to see how those 3-6 spots pan out on Saturday.

A 4-way tie for 3rd would put the seeds at: 3-UNI, 4-ISUr, 5-SIU, 6-MSU

UNI would have 4 wins vs the group, ISUr and SIU 3 each with ISUr having the better NC SOS, and MSU would have 2.