BirdsEyeView wrote:Wufan wrote:Redbirdgrad wrote:Looking back through recent history... these teams all missed out on the dance.
St. Mary's (2015-2016) - 26-5, 38 RPI, 148 SOS
St. Bonaventure (2015-2016) - 22-8, 30 RPI, 81 SOS
Colorado State (2014-2015) - 26-6, 29 RPI, 111 SOS
Southern Miss (2013-2014) - 25-6, 34 RPI, 132 SOS
Why cherry pick these teams? They've all got decent RPI's with bad SOS's. Good win totals (except for St. Bonaventure, but they had a better SOS), and none got in. There's at least 1 example of this a year.
According to RPIforecast, ISU currently has a projection of 36.3 RPI, 123 SOS. That would lump them in this group without any good wins on the resume.
If ISU runs the table? Projected at 27-5, 23 RPI, 111 SOS. Better RPI than the above, but the same general grouping. Still, no good wins on the resume. Missouri State carries the torch with a 21 RPI to not get in... ISU just needs to continue to play well and focus on St. Louis. That's the best hope any Valley team has right now.
This is true, except that ISU would have two top 50 wins against WSU.
Are you basing your top 50 RPI ranking for WSU as by season's end with the RPI forecast?
That's correct. RPI forecast predicts them to be top 50.
