VUGrad1314 wrote:
They're both on the verge of collapse? Aren't there enough FCS teams looking to move up to keep the Sun Belt afloat even if CUSA keeps eating it? And where would the affected teams go? I always felt that the only conferences in real trouble were the WAC and the Atlantic Sun. Also wouldn't the collapses of the Sun Belt and CUSA only create a more difficult climate for mid majors by creating more conferences and thereby taking away more bids?
tl;dr
Yes both are for financial reasons. Look at their geography and travel and reduced television money. There are enough teams, and if they would arrange themselves along regional lines, it might make them more stable but often there is pride and stubbornness at play there.
Where the affected teams would go is a great question. So far, football has driven conference realignment. As such, it could be a simple realignment along geographic lines, with some teams be cast out to fend for themselves a la NMSU and the WAC.
The collapse create a more difficult climate? YES. Maybe not in the way you think about taking at large ( though that is a direct problem). Currently, the majority of revenue is isolated in the Power 5 football conferences. Some of that gets through to the MAC, CUSA, and Sun Belt through pay football games, and then further down to non FBS schools via pay games with P5 schools (or pay games to CUSA, MAC, SBC games).
So many of the mid major basketball schools have mortgaged their programs to get into FBS, once conferences ban the scheduling of the non FBS programs (like the Big Ten has toyed with), or cut back their scheduling of non P5 schools. These changes will cut funding to non P5 schools and will hit those who have leveraged their programs for "big boy" football. Once these programs start to wobble, the P5 programs will look to further solidify their status as the "only" home for NCAA sports. Perhaps even go to break up the NCAA altogether, the way they did back when they split IA and IAA. The only hope for Mid Majors lies in basketball.
Football is an arms race. The rich teams win championships. The less rich get bowl games, and the poor get a cut of the revenue. Basketball on the other hand, while still an arms race in many ways, still has room for Cinderella's ( as long as they get the shot). Also many more games that have to be played. But the P5 teams are trying to keep control there as well, but the difference is that the public has a memory of the Cinderella Stories in basketball. They become lore. That hasn't been the case in football, so in basketball, there is hope for the smaller schools.