frankthetank wrote:Quite to the contrary, I keep emphasizing the economic and demographic big picture concerns (which is why Loyola was added) as opposed to trying to find a school that was 25 or 50 spots better in the RPI last year and thinking that expansion should be based on that criteria. You're trying to position Wichita State's revenue and attendance in the best light possible, which is understandable. I think you're severely discounting Creighton's numbers, though. There are a lot of schools that can claim to be in Wichita State's position ("We're sold out with max donations and high ticket prices and could sell 5000 more seats if we had a bigger place!"). I've heard that from countless fan bases (both for football and basketball) in conference realignment over the past 3 years. Now, it might be the case that Wichita State can actually do it. That's all and well and good. However, just know that lots of schools claim the same type of support. Of course university presidents look at overall revenue generation and Creighton certainly wasn't a paper tiger (as evidenced by how they traveled to the MVC Tournament).
Regardless, the attendance is a minor point compared to institutional fit with respect to the Big East and Creighton, so on that level, I agree that being private/Catholic helped Creighton out immensely in this regard. To be fair, it also wasn't the be all/end all, either (or else Duquesne would have ended up in the Big East).
Again, this is simple economics. Basketball tickets are a good. Supply and demand factors in to determine the price of that good. If the price rises because of a fixed quantity of that good (as in having a set stadium size) and the demand does not fall, that is because there is unsatisfied demand for the good. Were WSU to have more seats (goods), the unsatisfied demand would then be met at a given price. If the price falls, given a fairly inelastic demand (one not influenced by a sudden drop in the quality of the program), more goods (tickets) get sold. There are people who will buy the good at a lower price than it is currently being offered at -- if Koch Arena went to 12k capacity tomorrow, it would sell out, if prices were lowered accordingly. If it went to 14k capacity tomorrow, the same thing would happen.
And you would continue this exponentially until you see how many fans would show up if the game is free. Obviously there is a cap on how many fans are going to show up regardless of the price, but to argue that price has no impact on attendance figures is ignorant of all economic principles.
I am not discounting Creighton's fanbase. In fact, I'm even saying they have a bigger fanbase than WSU, basing that on the number of tickets sold for Arch Madness, which I believe Creighton regularly leads. I am only stating that you're discounting WSU's fanbase in comparison. This isn't about slamming Creighton's attendance ... economics state that their attendance figures would go down if they charged more and go up if they charged less, but regardless they have excellent attendance figures, and better than most in the country. They certainly had the best attendance of any non-Power 6 program in the country. However, they do not have three times the fans of Duke, which is what a generic comparison of average attendance the way you're doing it would imply. Creighton averages 16.6k a game ... Duke averages 9k. Don't pay attention to the fact that Creighton charges $200 for season tickets while Duke charges $7k. Clearly they're comparable. Obviously that's the extreme and WSU is in no way comparable to Duke in that scenario, but it clearly shows that attendance figures not only are the most important factor but they aren't even relevant sometimes. Duke would sell out a 17k arena easily.
And there is no one here who would ever say that Duquesne is a better add than Creighton. Again, this has nothing to do with Creighton being a bad add or not having great attendance figures, it's with you devaluing WSU's numbers. This has nothing to do with Creighton having less fans than they're showing. I'm only stating that comparing fanbases based on average attendance without taking into account arena size or ticket prices is an incredibly flawed metric. This shouldn't even be up for debate.