Home team in CAPS. Current lines are given with trends.
MISSOURI STATE (-7.5) vs. Murray State
We made some nice cash the second part of the season playing against the Bears. They were 4-11 ATS the last 15 games of the year, 4-10 ATS their last 14 as favorites, and in their last 10 games at home were only 1-7-2 ATS. Murray State is no better than break even down the stretch. 5-4-1 ATS their last 10 games. They are 5-5-1 ATS in true road games this year, and were 2-4 ATS as a dog. Have to play against the Bears and their terrible cover numbers, especially at home. PREDICTION: Missouri State 67-63.
EVANSVILLE (-2) vs. Hofstra
Evansville only 2-4 ATS their last 6, and were 3-3 ATS in their only 6 games as a favorite this year. The Pride were 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They are 6-7 ATS this year as a dog. This game is a bit strange because for betting purposes it would not be considered a true road game for Hofstra since the Aces regular facility is booked. The game is being played at another local college facility. Will pass on this game. PREDICTION: Evansville 66-64.
CREIGHTON (-10) vs. San Jose State
Creighton was good in this spot this year. They were 9-3 ATS as a favorite at home including covers in their last 4. They finished up 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. San Jose was 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games and played well as a dog going 10-6 ATS this year. They were 6-5 ATS in true road games. Creighton as a home favorite is worth a play. PREDICTION: Creighton 73-60
NORTHERN IOWA (5) vs. Rider
The Panthers were dreadfull down the stretch going 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home. They were only 6-11 ATS as favorites. Rider was strong in this spot going 9-4 ATS as a dog and a very strong 11-3 ATS in true road games. Rider beat Southern Cal by 20 this year and played well at Pitt before fading late. Rider in an upset. PREDICTION: Rider 65-63.