AAC is going to be in conference tier purgatory. Even with Wichita, you can't put them in the same tier as the P5+BE. At the same time, you can't put them in the same tier as the A-10 and everyone below them.
The AAC will be a tier upon themselves. They need the terrible teams to be merely bad, the bad teams to be average, and the above-average teams to be NIT teams. If everyone takes a half-step forward, they'll make the power 6 a power 7.
But also don't forget SMU is a ticking time bomb. Larry Brown is out and Jankovich is in, which means that thing is heading south
New conference tiers:
Tier 1: ACC, B1G, Big 12, Pac-12, $EC, Big Priest
Tier 2: American
Tier 3: A-10, MWC (last 2 years results would argue MWC should be below this, but the decade of track record before makes me leave them here for now)
Tier 4: MVC, WCC (the funny thing is, WCC and MVC were more or less equal...but our members (Creighton, Wichita) were geographically positioned to be poached while Gonzaga and St Mary's aren't)
Tier 5: Colonial (they're kind of in between all the certain 1-bid conferences and the multi-bid. Just enough strength in this conference)
Tier 6: CUSA, MAC, MAAC, Horizon (conferences that have multiple teams with the resources to make a legitimate run at an at-large bid if everything falls right)
Tier 7: Summit, OVC, Ivy, SoCon, Fun Belt, Big West (conferences that are 1-bid in all but the most extreme of circumstances, but are capable of producing Sweet 16 teams with favorable tourney matchups)
Tier 8: the remaining 11 conferences
Tier SWAC: SWAC
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