NCAA Conference Performance

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NCAA Conference Performance

Postby BEARZ77 » March 14th, 2022, 5:37 pm

A man named Matt Hackman presented a series of 3 charts on twitter,tracking conference performance in the NCAA Tourney since 2015. He looks at total teams in, average seed , wins, wins expected and then how teams faired against expectations . The end result by the 3rd chart was that the MVC out performs every other conference . Now our sample size is small with only 9 entrants, but that's kinda the point. We e get an average seed of 9.89 , should have only gotten 6.34 wins, but have 14 . Interesting stuff, encourage all to look him up on twitter. Maybe someone more technically savvy could transfer the info here.
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NCAA Conference Performance

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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby BUFanatic » March 14th, 2022, 6:03 pm

Related content…

https://youtu.be/4a1TUszkMfI

Our average seed actually benefits us. Around the 4:30 mark in that video there’s a chart with win % of different teams in the S16. 1/2 have the highest with the third (not that far behind) as the 8. 3rd is only marginally better than 7/9, with little separating them from 4/6/10/11. The two worst seeds? 12 (hardly any chance) and 5.
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby MissouriValleyUnite » March 14th, 2022, 6:13 pm

BEARZ77 wrote:A man named Matt Hackman presented a series of 3 charts on twitter,tracking conference performance in the NCAA Tourney since 2015. He looks at total teams in, average seed , wins, wins expected and then how teams faired against expectations . The end result by the 3rd chart was that the MVC out performs every other conference . Now our sample size is small with only 9 entrants, but that's kinda the point. We e get an average seed of 9.89 , should have only gotten 6.34 wins, but have 14 . Interesting stuff, encourage all to look him up on twitter. Maybe someone more technically savvy could transfer the info here.

That’s Hacksaw. He’s been a celebrity poster here forever.
https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status/15 ... 04516?s=21
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby Campbellproud » March 14th, 2022, 10:12 pm

MissouriValleyUnite wrote:
BEARZ77 wrote:A man named Matt Hackman presented a series of 3 charts on twitter,tracking conference performance in the NCAA Tourney since 2015. He looks at total teams in, average seed , wins, wins expected and then how teams faired against expectations . The end result by the 3rd chart was that the MVC out performs every other conference . Now our sample size is small with only 9 entrants, but that's kinda the point. We e get an average seed of 9.89 , should have only gotten 6.34 wins, but have 14 . Interesting stuff, encourage all to look him up on twitter. Maybe someone more technically savvy could transfer the info here.

That’s Hacksaw. He’s been a celebrity poster here forever.
https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status/15 ... 04516?s=21


Hacksaw is a whiz. Love his charts.
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby jsaluki080 » March 17th, 2022, 10:53 pm

Good Luck Loyola! Keep the MVC's NCAA tourney streak alive.
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby SalukiWorld » March 17th, 2022, 11:02 pm

0-4 for the Mountain West this tourney and they're all out before Thursday even ended. :D
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby BUFanatic » March 17th, 2022, 11:25 pm

B1G goes 1-2 which I love. Felt only 5 teams should have made it instead of 9.
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby goramblers2011 » March 18th, 2022, 8:23 am

Mountain West is incredibly overrated. Four teams in. And four teams out by the end of the first day. Haven't won a game in the tourney since Nevada's 2018 run (that Loyola ended).
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby Redbird82 » March 18th, 2022, 8:25 am

Last 2 years there have been 5 and 6 wins by non power 5 plus AAC teams. This year there was 6 yesterday alone. SD st should have won, Vermont and Akron could have won. That would have meant 9 of 16 games won by mid majors
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Re: NCAA Conference Performance

Postby Red » March 18th, 2022, 9:14 am

Redbird82 wrote:Last 2 years there have been 5 and 6 wins by non power 5 plus AAC teams. This year there was 6 yesterday alone. SD st should have won, Vermont and Akron could have won. That would have meant 9 of 16 games won by mid majors

South Dakota St or San Diego St? They both could have won.
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