by CBB_Fan » December 11th, 2012, 9:26 pm
Supposedly, the Catholic members of the Big East have a provision that allows them to leave without a 2/3 vote, and keep the Big East brand.
If that happens, I think they may decide to expand to 12 teams. The 5 most logical choices are Xavier, Butler, Dayton, Creighton and Saint Louis. This immediately solidifies the conference in basketball and probably puts it at about #5-6 in terms of conference power rankings (below ACC, B1G, SEC, and Big 12 probably).
If they can get that to happen, they may decide to to try and keep schools with football in the Big East, such as Temple, Memphis, Cincinnati, and UConn. This is want the Catholic schools want to happen, because those schools bring in money and are pretty solid adds to the conference. The problem is that those schools would have to find another home for their football programs, and be continuously looking to leave the conference to join as a full member somewhere else.
The other alternative that isn't being discussed much yet is trying to continue strengthening an all basketball team with a slightly wider geographical footprint. Some possibilities include Wichita State and VCU (which would be a possibility if UConn and Cincinnati decide to leave but Temple and Memphis stay), and maybe Duquesne and Richmond as well.
The latter possibility is the one that concerns the MVC, and especially Wichita State. Wichita State does not want to be left in the MVC when (probably not if) Creighton leaves, and the athletic department should make it a priority to get into this all-basketball conference. Dividing the conference into Western and Eastern divisions, you'd get:
WEST:
Butler
Dayton
Xavier
DePaul
Marquette
Creighton
Wichita State
Saint Louis
EAST:
St. John's
Georgetown
Providence
Villanova
Seton Hall
Richmond
Duquesne
VCU
This is a pretty solid basketball only conference. It probably would be pretty stable because no one is going to try and poach a non-football school from it, and roughly the same amount of money that the old Big East did (though travel expenses will be higher).
If the Catholic members of the Big East do decide to split (regardless of whether or not they have the Big East brand name), Creighton is gone. Wichita State will be hedging its bets that Cincinnati and UConn will want to bolt and leave a spot open for them.
A MVC without Wichita or Creighton may look to expand by adding Tulsa, ORU, or members of the football conference. Losing Creighton will hurt, and losing both will definitely be a devastating blow, but the conference can still be a top 10 league if SDSU and Tulsa become decent teams and UNI and Illinois State stay at the level they are at this year.