johnnydugouts wrote:UNI isnt struggling. they lost very close games to some good teams. RPI is completely worthless right now. if you are using it to judge a team then you have no concept of what it measures. they have zero bad losses. despite some awful travel issues they looked great against a top-50 kenpom team in St. Marys.
UNI will be in the mix for an at-large if they avoid bad losses in conference play and finish at 12-6 or better. they will be rewarded for their scheduling if they can get it done in conference. they also catch WSU at a good time because regardless of injuries every game counts the same.
Scheduling tough is a plus but you have to actually win a few games with that schedule to get serious looks. UCSB has the No.1 ranked SOS in the country. They aren't getting an at-large bid just because they played a tough schedule and lost every tough game they had.
St. Mary's is an ok win. We'll see if they stay in the Top 50. But as other posters have mentioned, the committee doesn't give at-larges to 11-loss teams from mid-major conferences. It just doesn't work that way. They get called out for it even when they do it with BCS conference teams. UNI has too many losses to give themselves an at-large look unless they do something crazy, like going 16-2 or something ridiculous in conference. After watching how they go in and out of games, I'd say the chances of that happening are very close to the number zero.
1 win against St. Mary's doesn't erase a season's worth of underperforming. The goose egg in Atlantis will come back to bite you. The RPI is too high right now to make any serious headway and yes the RPI is pretty accurate now, as the non-con season is over.
