by TheAsianSensation » February 20th, 2013, 9:47 am
There is probably too much damage on the InSU resume. Even bigger problem: their next 2 games are home to Iona and Drake, which do zip for their problems. Their issues: 6 sub-100 losses and 4-8 road record. Two home games against sub-100s don't fix that problem, they make it worse. But first things first: find 3 wins to close the regular season, then you'll have a fighting chance in St Louis.
I think Wichita is home free. In reality, all they needed was a split of the two big road games, and they got them. Detroit would be an 8th top 100 win for them. That could be useful. 8-3 vs. top 100 looks much better than 7-4.
Creighton's just about there too, but if they lose both @St Mary's and Wichita, that leaves them 7-6 vs. RPI Top 100 and sliding down the stretch. St Mary's is turning into a borderline top 50 chance depending how the RPI shakes out.
I took one extra look at Northern Iowa, still too much damage. 3-9 against RPI top 100 (Denver's going to give them another one), although the 3 wins are all top 50, they're also all at home. They played 8 top 100 opponents on the road or on a neutral site and gakked all 8. Bahamas and MWC/MVC challenge provided them with 4 golden tickets and they threw them all away.
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