Home team in CAPS. Trends and opening numbers.
Tuesday's trends didn't give us a play, but Wednesday allows one.
Missouri State (-3) @ INDIANA STATE
Two very strong trends go head to head here so there is no play. The Bears are a strong 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 5-2 ATS in true road games, and 4-0 ATS in conference games. However, the Sycamores are equally strong in this spot going 6-2 ATS at home and 3-1 ATS in conference home games. They are only 4-4 ATS as an underdog, but the other numbers can't be ignored. PREDICTION: Missouri State 76-73.
WICHITA STATE (-8) vs. Northern Iowa
This will be more a play against Northern than anything. The Shockers are strong favorites at 8-3 ATS, but only 2-2 ATS at home. The Panthers road performances allow us to go against them here. They are 1-6 ATS in true road games and 0-3 ATS in conference road games. Until they prove otherwise, need to go against.
PREDICTION: Wichita State 71-60.
CREIGHTON (-11) vs. Bradley
Creighton has been lights out ATS on the road. However, home games are a different story. They are only 2-7 ATS at home and only 3-4 ATS as favorites. The Braves give us nothing to work with here only being 2-3 ATS in true road games and 3-7 ATS as an underdog. Pass. PREDICTION: Creighton 72-61.