Wednesday's games

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Wednesday's games

Postby PocketAces » January 18th, 2011, 5:13 pm

Home team in CAPS. Trends and opening numbers.

Tuesday's trends didn't give us a play, but Wednesday allows one.

Missouri State (-3) @ INDIANA STATE

Two very strong trends go head to head here so there is no play. The Bears are a strong 8-3 ATS as a favorite, 5-2 ATS in true road games, and 4-0 ATS in conference games. However, the Sycamores are equally strong in this spot going 6-2 ATS at home and 3-1 ATS in conference home games. They are only 4-4 ATS as an underdog, but the other numbers can't be ignored. PREDICTION: Missouri State 76-73.

WICHITA STATE (-8) vs. Northern Iowa

This will be more a play against Northern than anything. The Shockers are strong favorites at 8-3 ATS, but only 2-2 ATS at home. The Panthers road performances allow us to go against them here. They are 1-6 ATS in true road games and 0-3 ATS in conference road games. Until they prove otherwise, need to go against.
PREDICTION: Wichita State 71-60.


CREIGHTON (-11) vs. Bradley

Creighton has been lights out ATS on the road. However, home games are a different story. They are only 2-7 ATS at home and only 3-4 ATS as favorites. The Braves give us nothing to work with here only being 2-3 ATS in true road games and 3-7 ATS as an underdog. Pass. PREDICTION: Creighton 72-61.
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Re: Wednesday's games

Postby Aces1982 » January 18th, 2011, 5:15 pm

All the Tee haters should jump on the Bears.
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Re: Wednesday's games

Postby Aargh » January 18th, 2011, 5:35 pm

I don't think the oddsmakers have been watching the Bears this year. I will be shocked - SHOCKED if MSU doesn't cover 3 points. I'm not a "Tree Hater". MSU is a lot more than 3 points better than the Trees - even in Terra Haute.

Spread in that game should be at least 6 to 8.

Take WSU. Double-digit W coming up - even if it doesn't look like that with 12 minutes left in the game.
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