Wufan wrote:I guess this is the thread to discuss today's other games as well...
SIU wins at Loyola and UE picks up their 2nd win against MSU. Salukis all alone in third.
UNI beats ISUb to get in the 4-6 mix with the aforementioned losers of today's contests.
Bradley beats Drake at home.
As unbelieveable as this sounds, UNI is nearly completely out of the Thursday discussion. Hacksaw posted a more updated list on PN, but UNI has less than a 9% chance to play on Thursday right now. ISUb, Evansville and Bradley are all "locks". Drake is nearly a lock. UNI owns a season sweep so even if UNI/Drake tie for that spot it's Drakes spot to have. Bradley, as of now, would hold the tie break over UNI but they are 2 games back right now.
UNI's remaining schedule
vs SIU
@ MSU
vs Bradley
@ WSU
@ ISUb
vs ISUr
Realistically speaking there are 3-4 wins left. According to hacksaw on PN UNI's odd of Thursday by conference win total are 6 conference wins - ~97-99% chance of Thursday game:
7 conference wins - ~50-53% chance of Thursday game
8 conference wins - ~7-8% chance of Thursday game
9 conference wins - ~0.1% chance of Thursday game
Drake has
ISUr
@ISUb
@ Evansville
MSU
@Loyola
Bradley
They have a relatively favorable schedule too, however, that tie breaker to UNI is a bitch for them. As is the fact their RPI currently sits at 281. That's 60 spots lower than 9th place Bradley.
A win for UNI on Wednesday puts them into third place (likely tied with Loyola) as MSU has WSU on Wednesday. A UNI win Wednesday, couple with ISUr beating Drake almost* locks UNI out of Thursday...almost. The difference between the 3 and 6 seed is nothing if truly thought about, especially in a year where the difference may simply be 1 game...or a tie break.