2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[Adunk33]

Do these seedings take into account injuries?

The odds are based off of Sagarin's Predictor ratings. To my knowledge, there is no account of injuries in these ratings.

Thank you

[Redbird Recon]

Hacksaw is correct. PREDICTOR does use any data about rosters, such as injuries, suspensions, players facing bench warrants, etc.

Solid troll.

[TSmithBJJ]

Evansville the slight favorite in the SIU @ Evansville... I know they're a good team when they play at home, but I'll definitely have to pick the underdog in this matchup.

[Hacksaw]

The final 32,768 scenarios (unweighted):

[Hacksaw]

Weighted scenarios:

[BirdsEyeView]

Congrats to Drake on avoiding Drake night for the first time in YEARS!

[lime]

Congrats to Drake on avoiding Drake night for the first time in YEARS!

it's 99.9% but not guaranteed yet.

[BuBrave2006]

A Thursday potentially without Drake or Bradley? How long has that been?

[pafan]

We've had Drake night for 9 consecutive years.

The 10th year (2008) was Keno's year at Drake, seeding them first, and Bradley was seeded 5th that year. So there's your answer.

[ThisIsTheLineup]

A Thursday potentially without Drake or Bradley? How long has that been?

2010....it's been a while!