2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[usmcsaluki]

I thought Syracuse also did it once behind incredibly hot shooting from Jerry McNamara.

I believe you're right

[TheAsianSensation]

Syracuse did 4 in 4 days to win a Big East title, sandwiched around Boeheim's pseudo-love letter to McNamara in a presser.

Kemba with UConn did 5 in 5 days, but given that the first one was DePaul...was that REALLY 5 in 5 days?

[chitown fanatic]

Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.

[BCPanther]

Hell of a lot easier to beat teams that know they're in the tournament and coasting thru a league tournament than when you've got 10 very similar programs that know each other the way the Valley does fighting for one bid.

[Hrtnfldhse]

Hell of a lot easier to beat teams that know they're in the tournament and coasting thru a league tournament than when you've got 10 very similar programs that know each other the way the Valley does fighting for one bid.

So true. Teams fighting for the only spot is a completely different animal

[musiccitybulldog]

Ben Jacobsen knows how to play the tournament, good at it.

[ISUSOX13]

With Drake's victory, I think it will end up looking like this.

1. Loyola
2. SIU
3. Drake
4. ISU
5. Bradley
6. Missouri State
7 and 8 Evansville/Indiana State
9 and 10 UNI/Valpo

[Hacksaw]

The final 1,024 scenarios (unweighted):

[Hacksaw]

Weighted scenarios:

[bufan42]

Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.

Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.