2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[LanceShock]

Thought I would check in on here and see how things are going in the Valley race. All I can say is wow, it looks like quite the race this year. Quite a few surprises in how things are going, especially seeing how well Drake is doing (congratulations on a top half finish!). Hope it has been an enjoyable race.

[BirdsEyeView]

Thought I would check in on here and see how things are going in the Valley race. All I can say is wow, it looks like quite the race this year. Quite a few surprises in how things are going, especially seeing how well Drake is doing (congratulations on a top half finish!). Hope it has been an enjoyable race.

Congrats on your big win yesterday. Those Cincy fans were very annoying, but the game was awesome and very competitive!

[chitown fanatic]

Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.

Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.

You are correct. I didn't realize ISU swept them. Now the only path to the 6 is to lose out, mo st win out, and Evansville lose once. Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.

[cpacmel]

Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.

Can I play the injury card?

[bufan42]

Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.

Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.

You are correct. I didn't realize ISU swept them. Now the only path to the 6 is to lose out, mo st win out, and Evansville lose once. Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.

My prognostications have drake with 11 wins in 3rd

ISU with 10 in 4th

MO State with 9 wins in 5th.

BU with 9 wins in 6th getting edged out in the rpi tiebreaker.


Crazy to think we all have 2 games to go and so much is still up in the air

[ThisIsTheLineup]

Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.

[Hrtnfldhse]

Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.

Don't be the 3 seed

[Redbirds4Life]

Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.

Don't be the 3 seed

Even though the 3 seed has done worse since 2000 in the MVC tournament, I think in this particular season, I want that 3 seed. I think you would be better off seeing SIU in the semi-finals, rather than Loyola.

Selfishly, I really want Bradley in the quarter-finals.

[Hrtnfldhse]

Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.

Don't be the 3 seed

Even though the 3 seed has done worse since 2000 in the MVC tournament, I think in this particular season, I want that 3 seed. I think you would be better off seeing SIU in the semi-finals, rather than Loyola.

Selfishly, I really want Bradley in the quarter-finals.

Yes, I would rather be on the 2/3 side than Loyola's side.

[BuBrave2006]

I would LOVE if it ended up

Loyola
Southern
Drake
ISUr
MSU
Bradley
(7-10)

I wouldn't be thrilled facing Drake but if you put Loyola, ISUr and Missouri St all on the other side, i'll take my chances with whoever you throw in front of us.