VUGrad1314 wrote:Is there any way to run a simulation of what a 20 game conference schedule with Murray State added to the MVC would have done to the metrics and resumes of Murray State of each MVC team and of the conference metrics as a whole?
There's so many interconnecting parts with RPI (particularly with SoS) that trying to untangle them is not possible....safe assumption is that Loyola would've added a Group 1 win chance to the resume, and one or two Group 2 win chances. Plus, the games LU sacrifices are likely cupcakes. So better SoS for them. However, they were so light on these wins that it wouldn't have been enough. If Loyola had 3 Group 1 wins, and Murray St could push them to 5, that would've been another story.
MVC likely would've moved from 8th in conference RPI to....8th. Murray helps, but the top 7 took off from the rest of the nation in RPI.
I think most years, Murray St would be in a position to be a key 4th or 5th signature win for an at-large contender. This year was kind of an outlier in that Loyola wasn't quite in position for that.
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