2020 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[Saluki 4 Life]

Awesome! Look forward to all the charts tomorrow!

[Hacksaw]

Conference Update:




Team Sheets:











Historical Results:

[BCPanther]

That Bradley/Loyola semifinal is going to be must-see stuff.

[ACECARD]

That Bradley/Loyola semifinal is going to be must-see stuff.

The winner of that game against UNI should be pretty good also.

[municup14]

I bet I know where my Aces will be seeded.Beware though DeAndre William's has been cleared for contact in practice

[Saluki 4 Life]

I bet I know where my Aces will be seeded.Beware though DeAndre William's has been cleared for contact in practice

Hoping he plays a few minutes at SIU. Can't see him getting more than some spot minutes to start but I hope we get to see him for a at least a bit in C-dale Thursday!

[Hacksaw]

Here are the weighted seed probabilities with 15 games to go:


And because in this league every game can be a challenge, here are the unweighted probabilities (each future game has 50/50 odds):

[Saluki 4 Life]

Can we get an updated team by team chart?

[BCPanther]

With remaining schedules, the Top 3 seeds are pretty much set. The only question, to me, is who's the 2 and who's the 3.

1--UNI (Wins every conceivable tiebreaker and has the easiest remaining schedule of the Top 3)
2--Bradley/Loyola (Loyola has the tougher schedule and has to play at MSU and Bradley yet. I lean to BU getting the 2)
3--Loyola/Bradley (See above)

I was thinking SIU was a lock for the 4 but YIKES that schedule hates them for the last 3 (at UNI, Indiana State, at Missouri State). I mean, they've got a two game lead but it isn't inconceivable that Indiana State goes 3-0. That's going to be the 4/5 game and the only difference is jersey color but 4th always sounds so much better than 5th.

[Hacksaw]

Team charts: