Home team in CAPS. Opening lines given.
DRAKE (-3) vs. Evansville
Although the Aces have played well as a dog (6-3 ATS in their last 9 in that role), many of those wins have been at home. They are only 3-5-1 ATS in conference road games. Evansville looks to be stumbling a bit, especially on the road, to the finish. Drake meanwhile has been a cash machine at home. They are 6-2 ATS at home in conference play including 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home. They are 4-1 ATS as a favorite in conference and are on a hot 8-2 ATS run in their last 10 games. This number looks way too small. PREDICTION: Drake 70-61
Missouri State (-6) @ SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
The Bears have been as bad as it gets lately. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games in conference. Problem is the Salukis have not gotten it done in this spot. They are only 2-6 ATS in conference home games and are 3-6-1 as a conference dog. Trends say to leave this one alone.
PREDICTION: Missouri State 65-60
WICHITA STATE (11) vs. Creighton
Creighton is 6-2 ATS in conference road games, but they are 0-2 ATS in their last 2 so the trend is turning recently. They are a strong underdog play going 7-4 ATS this year, 5-1 ATS as a conference dog. Wichita has been struggling against the number at home. They are 4-4 ATS in conference home games. They are only 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Don't like those last 2 road losses aginst the number for Creighton, but their play as an underdog and the Shocks semi-struggles at home warrant a small play. PREDICTION: Wichita State 75-68.