Home team in CAPS. Opening lines given. 30-20 ATS so far this year.
INDIANA STATE (-10) vs. Southern Illinois
The Sycamores are 5-0 ATS in thier last 5 conference games. They have been strong in this spot all year at 5-2 ATS as a conference favorite and 5-3 ATS in conference home games. The Salukis are a money pit lately. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. They are 2-5-1 ATS in conference road games and only 3-7-1 as a conference dog. It's a good size number but the trends say play Indiana State. PREDICTION: Indiana State 70-55.
CREIGHTON (-3) vs. Northern Iowa
Creighton is a strong 5-3 ATS in conference home games and 6-3 ATS as a conference favorite. The Panthers have struggled at 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. They are 3-5 ATS in conference road games. Creighton is a play.
PREDICTION: Creighton 67-60.
EVANSVILLE (-6.5) vs. Illinois State
Evansville has played well in these spots going 6-2 ATS in conference home games including 4-0 ATS in their last 4. They are 3-1 ATS as a conference favorite. The Redbirds are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. They are 4-4 ATS in conference road games and 5-7 ATS as a conference dog. Evansville never seems to beat anyone by a big number but need to play them here. PREDICTION: Evansville 70-60
BRADLEY (-2) vs. Drake
Bradley is only 2-6 ATS in conference home games and 2-2 ATS as a conference favorite. Drake is 3-5 in conference road games, but they have been hot lately going 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a dog. Despite the strong recent play, we need to pass. PREDICTION: Bradley 73-72.
MISSOURI STATE (-2.5) vs, Wichita State
Now for the big one. The Shocks have revenge for the earlier home loss at the hands of Missouri State. This is their first conference game as an underdog. Wichita is 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games, but they are 7-1 ATS in conference road games, the only loss being a 1/2 point at Evansville. The Bears have been an automatic play against lately. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. They have struggled all year as a conference favorite only going 4-9-2 ATS, and amazingly they have not covered a home conference game yet going 0-6-2 ATS. The trend continues. PREDICTION: Wichita State 75-71.