by BirdmanBB » February 27th, 2012, 3:56 pm
I really think a lot of Pac-12 bubbles will bust when NCAA locks, especially at the mid major level, don't win their conference tournaments. There is a lot of potential out there for that this year and we are included. Just look at conferences like the MWC, A10, MVC, CAA, OVC, WCC and CUSA.
-SDSU and UNLV are locks, but Colorado St could jump in and upset.
-There are numerous teams in the A10 that can upset the "locks"
-One of our 9-9 teams in the MVC could get hot.
-VCU can win the CAA giving them a couple.
-A team other than Murray St. could surprise in the OVC tourney.
-Maybe BYU can sneak a tournament Championship over St. Mary's and the Zags.
-CUSA have multiple teams that could get them to a couple bids.
-LBSU might even have a shot of losing their championship game and still getting in with an at-large.
I think once these things play out, Pac-12 teams with no ground to stand on will be the 1st to see their bubbles bust. It happens every year, but it usually ends up screwing us over. The Pac-12 looks mirror of the valley in some off years. (look at last year specifically) If they get more than one bid, even with a weak bubble, it will have to be much weaker than last year and we see a bunch of locks take care of business and win their conference tournaments.
This happens every year. They just happen to be "in" right now because bracketologists like Lunardi have to assume the teams with the best records in their conference will get the autobid until those conference tournaments are played out. At this point in time, you usually look for more teams to fall off than play their way back on.