MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby rlh04d » March 8th, 2012, 12:00 am

bluejayfan00 wrote:I think Creighton's ceiling is a 5, and the lowest is 7. But I think the Jays will get a 6. I think Wichita could be anywhere from a 4-6, but will get a 5.

This. The ceiling/floor is the best way of looking at it. WSU is a 4-6, Creighton is a 5-7. Either team could be anywhere in that depending on how the other teams in that seed range perform in their conference tournaments.

As of now, I believe WSU is a weak 4 and Creighton is a weak 5. Conference tournament play and midmajor bias can be applied as needed before Sunday.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby glm38 » March 8th, 2012, 6:25 am

I think both will be around a 6 too. But I'm kind of fearful one of them will get screwed like UNI did a few years ago with their seeding (a 9 i think?).
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby Ali » March 8th, 2012, 8:18 am

glm38 wrote:I think both will be around a 6 too. But I'm kind of fearful one of them will get screwed like UNI did a few years ago with their seeding (a 9 i think?).

Exactly. You should both prepared to be lower than you think. Also, not sure why everyone assumes WSU will be a better seed than CU based on the hard data.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby shocktheheart » March 8th, 2012, 8:46 am

Ali wrote:
glm38 wrote:I think both will be around a 6 too. But I'm kind of fearful one of them will get screwed like UNI did a few years ago with their seeding (a 9 i think?).

Exactly. You should both prepared to be lower than you think. Also, not sure why everyone assumes WSU will be a better seed than CU based on the hard data.



What data are you looking at? Based on this, I would say WSU's resume is better. Better SOS, RPI, won regular season title by 2 games, better road record. The only think Creighton has is a better top 50 RPI record, but they played 3 out of those 5 at home. The top 100 RPI record is WSU 6-3 and Creighton 5-3. By these numbers I don't know how you don't say WSU has a slightly better resume.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketb ... comparison
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby 3ontheway » March 8th, 2012, 11:56 am

I see WSU getting a 5 (should probably be a 4) and CU getting 7 or royally screwed with an 8 (probably should be a 6). Likely they both will match up with other mid-majors.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby LMS » March 8th, 2012, 2:47 pm

When we have a favorable draw (Nevada) we lose. When I hated the draw (Florida) we won. Not sure it matters. Just have to play well.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby shocktheheart » March 8th, 2012, 2:50 pm

I hope WSU ends up with a BCS mid pack team. Better then knocking out another mid major who gets screwed on seeding. I see WSU as a 5 or 6 and Creighton as a 6 or 7. Anything below those seeds, the teams have got screwed.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby DoubleJayAlum » March 8th, 2012, 2:54 pm

LMS wrote:When we have a favorable draw (Nevada) we lose. When I hated the draw (Florida) we won. Not sure it matters. Just have to play well.

I never thought the Nevada draw was a favorable one at all. Nevada was ranked in the top 25, but somehow got bumped down to a 7 seed. They should have been a 5 or 6 at the worst.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby valleychamp » March 8th, 2012, 2:57 pm

Both should get favorable seeds, no worse than a 7 and as high as a 4. But don't be surprised if you get totally robbed, and get shoved into the 8-9 game either.

UNI had a very similar resume two years ago to what WSU and CU have this year, and we got jobbed down to a freaking 9 seed. The bubble is super weak this year though, so I think the danger of that happening this year is not likely.
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Re: MVC - NCAA seeding predictions

Postby shocktheheart » March 8th, 2012, 3:14 pm

Is Creighton doing anything special with the team for the selection show? WSU has announced they will have a watch party at Koch Arena with the fans and I would imagine that CBS will have a camera there.
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