valleychamp wrote:I expect, and think it is a fair expectation, for UNI to win 18-23 games. And I expect them to finish in the top 3-4 of the MVC.
I don't think we will win the MVC, and I don't think we are an NCAA tournament team at this point, but neither of those things are unattainable for this team.
I think we might struggle early, and get significantly better as the year goes along. I think we will finish in the top half of the MVC, and will be a very very tough team to beat in STL.
I agree for the most part.
Breaking it down further, I think we should be able to win 10 of our 13 OOC games at least, and I EXPECT to beat Iowa and Iowa State among those. The difficult ones will be at Syracuse (would be a great feather, but more expecting to compete well and see what happens), at TCU in the MVC/MWC challenge, Morehead State and their high scorer at home, and the two games in Las Vegas (an improved Indiana and either New Mexico or Colorado), and Bracketbuster. Those are 6 of the 13, and I expect to at least split those 6 while winning the other 7.
I expect us to go 12-6 in conference, probably win a couple we wouldn't expect and lose one or two we shouldn't, but I think we get 7 or 8 wins at home and play 4-5 or 5-4 on the road.
That should put us at around 20-22 wins heading into St. Louis and possibly looking at a bubble, depending on how those 6 OOC games turn out.
I think an NIT bid is a reasonable expectation with a strong chance to make a run in St. Louis and possibly be sitting around the bubble not that far off.