valleychamp wrote:1) The guarantee games double in payouts. (450K from Iowa turns into close to 1MM for instance)
2) The new playoff is going to generate more dollars, and MAC level schools are expected to receive up to $1MM each.
3) TV and bowl revenue that was non existent in FCS. The MAC, for instance, received over $1MM in payouts from TV, and $2.7MM from the BCS.
1) This won't happen right off the bat for UNI. You aren't going to get double overnight just because you joined the MAC; you will have to show you will belong for a couple of years too. I also think you are overestimating the amount of the additional payout. According to the OWH, it costs $1M to get a buy game with Boise St. and they are an established, ranked program. It probably also should be added that you may not be able to find as may people interested in buying you at your new higher prices. Once again according to the OWH, Nebraska has opted to play schools like Idaho St rather than an FBS opponent simply because they are a lot cheaper. If they are forced to pay $1M, maybe Iowa and Iowa St take a pass on UNI (especially if they think you might beat them!)
2) I don't understand how this works. The 4 team playoff is not going to include any MAC schools, so how do they get additional money? Even if they expand the playoffs substantially, there aren't any MAC schools that are going to qualify. (Honest question - I don't understand...)
3) Bowl revenue is a farce. This was well chronicled in the book,
Death to the BCS. Almost every single school that goes to a bowl LOSES money on the deal. The travel and lodging, combined with the ridiculous number of tickets that a school has to guarantee to sell makes this an economic fact. Even the biggest football powers (Ohio St, Nebraska, etc have lost money on recent bowl trips). It is essentially impossible for a school to sell its ticket allotment because fans can buy the tickets at less than face value on about every single Internet site, resulting in the school ending up eating a large portion of the ticket requirement at full price. It seems rather unlikely that a school that only gets 4,000 to basketball games and complains on your message board about $20 ticket prices, is going to buy up the required amount of tickets to travel to a low interest bowl like the Motor City Bowl (assuming you even make it anyway). (Honestly, if you haven't read
Death to the BCS, should should invest in it.)
Thinking that FBS won't result in additional expenses is unsound. If it was better financially, every school would make the jump yesterday. There are rea$on$ why so many schools have not done so.
(And none of this even takes into account what the Iowa legislature may think when after instructing UNI to become more self-sufficent, UNI has unilaterally decided to INCREASE expenses).
The point of all of this is that most people just take take UNI's public statements all that serious. I'd be willing to wager that most MVC schools are more worried about IlSU jumping than they are about UNI. I have no idea if that is fair, but it is reality.