at large for ISUr?

[CaliRdBrd]

If we run the table the rest of the regular season, and win 2 games in St. Louis, that puts us 23-11 - right? Is that enough to warrant at large consideration?

[achrist70]

I'll put the same question out there for UNI

[valleychamp]

Yes, they'd be in consideration I'd think. Obviously unlikely that they could win out, but if they were to do so, the bubble is fairly weak this year so they'd have a shot depending on what some other at-large candidates do down the stretch. UNI is in pretty much the exact same spot.

[CaliRdBrd]

If the starts align, we could have 5 teams dancing...

[TheAsianSensation]

ISUr: I can't see it. RPI too high. All their non-con wins have turned to rubbish, no thanks to UAB and Drexel both tanking. They have just 2 top 200 wins in the non-con. If they run the table out to the final game, that would likely leave them 4-4 against the top 3 in the Valley, and 4-5 against the RPI Top 50, which is reasonable. They would end up 10-7 R/N record. Eh.

We're talking about a not terrible resume....but this is assuming every break in the book.


UNI: I can't see it either. Tougher schedule to talk about here. The home win over St Mary's could be useful, but no thanks to the horribleness of the CAA, the win @Mason has turned into rubbish. Too many chances against RPI Top 50 went begging. Louisville, Memphis, UNLV all good opponents but at some point you had to convert them. Currently 2-7 against RPI Top 50, would likely become 4-8 if they ran the table out to the final game. The SoS is actually plenty good and will get them in the convo with their RPI. They would also end up 8-10 R/N - not good enough.

Not the worse resume, but the missed chances probably hurt beyond reproach. If they could've just gotten one of those games in Atlantis it'd be a different story. Just one.

[Aargh]

If UNI ended the season with 11 losses, they'd have the auto bid. Without winning St. Louis, UNI would have at least 12 losses. If in your wildest imagination, you can possibly come up with a Valley team with 12 losses on any post-season bubble, that bubble would belong to one of the tourneys that starts with the letter "C".

[GoShockers89]

Per RPIforecast.com, running the table would leave ISUr with a projected RPI in the low 70s.

So, lolHellNo.

ETA: ISUr has as good a chance as anyone of winning St. Louis right now. Focus on that, anything else will give you a headache and disappointment.

[isumvc1]

agree, too many bad losses for both teams, he!!, Indiana State is only one more bad loss from being eliminated and ILS and UNI don't have the quality of non con wins as the Sycamores do.

[Phantom]

We have no chance at an at-large. The only way we go Dancing, again, is to win in STL.

Had we won 2 of Louisville, Northwestern or Wyoming instead of losing all 3, then there might be reason for a bit more consideration. Then starting 0-6 in Valley play was the nail in the coffin.

[BCPanther]

UNI would be in a better at-large spot than Illinois State.

That said, both can only get in by winning three in three days.