Next Year Predictions

Discuss the MVC hoops season here.

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby GoRamblers » April 15th, 2013, 2:00 pm

Sir Sci wrote:
GoRamblers wrote:Oh, I love the academic logo. The athletics logo just looks off to me. The wolf seems emaciated. Just my opinion, though, I don't have illusions that my opinion actually matters in this regard.


I love the old Hobo logo but that is from the days when you could get away with that type of thing.

As for the wolf, I think it looks more sleek than the previous version. If you make it up to Chicago for the game this year, we have a pretty cool version of it painted in the arena that lights up during starting lineups. It's pretty cool.
GoRamblers
MVC Role Player
MVC Role Player
 
Posts: 145
Joined: April 14th, 2013, 11:48 am

Re: Next Year Predictions

Sponsor

Sponsor
 

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby Sir Sci » April 15th, 2013, 2:22 pm

GoRamblers wrote:
Sir Sci wrote:
GoRamblers wrote:Oh, I love the academic logo. The athletics logo just looks off to me. The wolf seems emaciated. Just my opinion, though, I don't have illusions that my opinion actually matters in this regard.


I love the old Hobo logo but that is from the days when you could get away with that type of thing.

As for the wolf, I think it looks more sleek than the previous version. If you make it up to Chicago for the game this year, we have a pretty cool version of it painted in the arena that lights up during starting lineups. It's pretty cool.


Interesting, I don't think I had realized it was a new logo. I agree it's sleeker, I do like the old wolf better, but I like the new Loyola wordmark.

Anyhow, I'm actually pretty optimistic about LU being the new MVC team, especially when the previous option was UIC. However, I am slightly worried about the lack of a baseball team, particularly because I'm a rather avid fan of Bears baseball.
User avatar
Sir Sci
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 255
Joined: April 7th, 2013, 7:45 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby rlh04d » April 15th, 2013, 3:22 pm

GoRamblers wrote:I know you all think that we'll be push-overs this year. I'm alright with you thinking that way. We'll just sneak up on you guys. Truth be told, we should be middle of the pack. Our team last year was one of the youngest in all of D-1. We had 7 games that we lost on the final possession. Those 7 losses were by a total of 12 points.

For most of the second half of the year, we were without our best player (Averkamp). That said, we still were able to beat DePaul (I know, not saying much but we BEAT them), Mississippi State and Valpo (at Valpo). We were up 2 at Michigan State and took them to the very end of the game. We return all but two players (Cully Payne doesn't count. He was a head case on and off the court) and add Milton Doyle from Kansas.

Certainly, you guys can think that we'll be push-overs. Just don't be surprised when we play good ball and win a bunch of games.

Also, for your information, we are called the Ramblers because of our football team. We didn't really have a home field and so we were on the road a lot. The Tribune wrote a headline (something like) "Loyola Rambles to Victory." Since then, we've been the Ramblers. As to why our mascot is a wolf, that goes to our crest which also happens to be the crest of St. Ignatius of Loyola. On that crest are the Wolf and Kettle...the two wolves are over the kettle. The symbol comes from St. Ignatius' family. They had the crest above their door to note that all were welcome. They would feed family, retainers, soldiers, and wild animals.

Fair points.

I'm focused more on your terrible nonconference SOS and 6 games against teams with 300+ RPIs, though. I don't know how well that translates to playing in the Valley, especially when the Valley will be pushing you to tighten up your SOS for RPI purposes. If your SOS increases, you team can be better next year and still win less games.

I'm also concerned that a few bad years in the Valley might dissuade your leadership from this newfound commitment to athletics.
User avatar
rlh04d
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 2442
Joined: February 24th, 2012, 9:15 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby ahunte1 » April 15th, 2013, 3:39 pm

rlh04d wrote:Fair points.

I'm focused more on your terrible nonconference SOS and 6 games against teams with 300+ RPIs, though. I don't know how well that translates to playing in the Valley, especially when the Valley will be pushing you to tighten up your SOS for RPI purposes. If your SOS increases, you team can be better next year and still win less games.

I'm also concerned that a few bad years in the Valley might dissuade your leadership from this newfound commitment to athletics.


We've been stuck in some bad scheduling deals that have carried over from the previous regime. The schedule will improve. Everyone wants that to happen.

The new commitment to athletics includes $35 million in facilities improvements, so I don't think a few bad years will change that. It might, however, change our coach. Not that I think either of those will happen :)
ahunte1
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 290
Joined: April 14th, 2013, 2:06 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby Wufan » April 15th, 2013, 7:08 pm

This is a good time to get good in the Valley. Lots of teams lost lots of talent and are young. Based on your resume from last year, I will bet you play on Thursday in St Louis...i.e. finish between 7 and 10. It's not like we run 8 top 100 teams in the Valley, and in fact MSU, SIU, Drake, and Bradley were NOT good last year yet still managed to win a lot of games.
Wufan
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 4106
Joined: October 19th, 2010, 8:14 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby jackwagon » April 15th, 2013, 7:47 pm

Wufan wrote:This is a good time to get good in the Valley. Lots of teams lost lots of talent and are young. Based on your resume from last year, I will bet you play on Thursday in St Louis...i.e. finish between 7 and 10. It's not like we run 8 top 100 teams in the Valley, and in fact MSU, SIU, Drake, and Bradley were NOT good last year yet still managed to win a lot of games.



That's true. Loyola wont be as outclassed as some may think. The question I have for Shocker diehards is how did a Final Four team lose 6 conference games and then 1 in the tourney if the conference is sooooooo terrible? I love the run Wichita went on but the WSU fans crack me up. You can't dog on the MVC as being a terrible conference and have the we need to get out of this sinking ship mentality but go on to lose 7 games to those inferior teams. WSU has been a very solid program the last decade and a half but lets not act like they have dominated the valley. Creighton probably was the most consistently good team and they are gone. WSU has an advantage with Marshall at the helm but this league will run in cycles just as it always has. As for the Loyola add? Could of been better, could of been worse. At least they have some potential
jackwagon
All MVC
All MVC
 
Posts: 443
Joined: November 14th, 2011, 7:33 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby Snaggletooth » April 15th, 2013, 9:03 pm

jackwagon wrote:The question I have for Shocker diehards is how did a Final Four team lose 6 conference games and then 1 in the tourney if the conference is sooooooo terrible?


WSU had 4 starters injured. Two of them did not play any of the conference season. Baker came back in time for the the NCAA tournament - and was key for the Final 4 run.

Hall was out broken thumb and when he came back he wasn't 100% - but he played through the pain after surgery and he fought through it all to help them team as best he could.

WSU best 3pt shooter - Wessel had a broken pinky and had to have season ending surgery. He was hitting 46% of his three's when hurt.

Orupke although he only missed 3 games with a sprained ankle, he was in alot of pain and didn't handle it well and wasn't the same after the injury.
Snaggletooth
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 1493
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:46 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby rlh04d » April 15th, 2013, 10:16 pm

jackwagon wrote:
Wufan wrote:This is a good time to get good in the Valley. Lots of teams lost lots of talent and are young. Based on your resume from last year, I will bet you play on Thursday in St Louis...i.e. finish between 7 and 10. It's not like we run 8 top 100 teams in the Valley, and in fact MSU, SIU, Drake, and Bradley were NOT good last year yet still managed to win a lot of games.



That's true. Loyola wont be as outclassed as some may think. The question I have for Shocker diehards is how did a Final Four team lose 6 conference games and then 1 in the tourney if the conference is sooooooo terrible? I love the run Wichita went on but the WSU fans crack me up. You can't dog on the MVC as being a terrible conference and have the we need to get out of this sinking ship mentality but go on to lose 7 games to those inferior teams. WSU has been a very solid program the last decade and a half but lets not act like they have dominated the valley. Creighton probably was the most consistently good team and they are gone. WSU has an advantage with Marshall at the helm but this league will run in cycles just as it always has. As for the Loyola add? Could of been better, could of been worse. At least they have some potential

I don't think you understand the mentality of Wichita State fans. Allow me to explain.

The Valley is consistently a very good conference that regularly turns into a bloodbath in conference play.

The Valley is just good enough for the teams to beat absolutely anyone (note UNI and IlST pushing Louisville to the limits, Indiana State over Miami and Ole Miss with an OT loss to New Mexico, Bradley with a close game against Michigan, etc.).

When we say the Valley is terrible, it has nothing to do with the teams not being good teams. It's that the good teams have no consistency in effort, and thus often underperform relative to potential.

The problem with the Valley is that it will always be good enough to beat you on any given day. But it absolutely refuses to be good enough to get more teams to be good enough to get to the NCAA tournament. It's good enough to screw you, but not good enough to help you (RPI and good wins, NCAA tournament shares from multiple bids, etc.). Losing Creighton won't make the 2-8 teams less capable of beating us on any given night. It just makes it very unlikely that any of those teams will be able to contribute to our NCAA resume or make the tournament themselves and thus benefit us via NCAA share money.

Which is the problem. Gonzaga and Butler have been able to make consistent runs because the majority of their conference stinks, so it's easy to dominate them. Nobody dominates the Valley. Never have, likely never will. But yet those conferences get to have just as many, and often times more, tournament bids than us. Being good and deep doesn't do well when none of the middle players seem to want to get past the "good" level and into the "at-large bid" level.

The other problem we have with the Valley is a lack of direction, and too much emphasis put on reducing travel costs for the poorest members of the league, who spend too large a share of their athletic budgets on FCS football. We wish to be a major program, and that's difficult given the state of the Valley. All too often it seems like the mentality of the Valley is to contract, preferring the safest moves possible rather than anything that would give us an opportunity to increase the prestige of the conference.

And anyone who is saying "Just dominate the Valley and there won't be a problem!" is ignoring the entire history of the Valley. That's not the way this conference works. SIU had the most dominant stretch in Valley play that I can remember in the early 2000s, and they won ONE Arch Madness title in that period, despite FIVE regular season conference titles -- and the one time they won the tournament was the one time over that stretch that they didn't win the regular season title. That's just how this conference works -- again, bloodbath. Luckily they dominated in a period where we were able to consistently get multiple bids to the NCAA tournament ... that hasn't been the case over the last six years.

The Valley isn't terrible in that the teams themselves are bad. There's a lot of good teams in this conference that can beat anyone on any given night. It's that this conference being good does absolutely nothing for us. A good conference should get multiple NCAA tournament bids or at least provide opportunities for good wins to build a resume on ... and the Valley doesn't do this. So we get all of the negatives of being in a good conference, with none of the positives. Either suck so we can dominate you or get better so you can help us, but this weird middle level we're at blows.
User avatar
rlh04d
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 2442
Joined: February 24th, 2012, 9:15 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby Aargh » April 15th, 2013, 11:26 pm

jackwagon wrote:That's true. Loyola wont be as outclassed as some may think. The question I have for Shocker diehards is how did a Final Four team lose 6 conference games and then 1 in the tourney if the conference is sooooooo terrible?

How many teams are there in the entire nation that could lose 3 starters to injury for extended periods and every starter to injury for at least a few games and still end up 12-6 in their league?

WSU had 2 of the 3 injured starters back for the NCAA's. The return of Ron Baker made a huge difference in how the Shox played and how opponents had to defend. Baker and Evan Wessel were the best 3-point shooters on the team. When they were both out, Valley teams just ran zone against WSU. Injuries decimated WSU's outside threats and zone D's cut off the inside game.

During the 3-game losing streak, Tekele Cotton's shot was off. Cotton spent extra hours in the gym to get his shot back and was around 50% from 3 late in the season.
User avatar
Aargh
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 1924
Joined: August 16th, 2010, 10:08 pm

Re: Next Year Predictions

Postby shoxrox » April 16th, 2013, 12:24 am

Aargh wrote:
jackwagon wrote:That's true. Loyola wont be as outclassed as some may think. The question I have for Shocker diehards is how did a Final Four team lose 6 conference games and then 1 in the tourney if the conference is sooooooo terrible?

How many teams are there in the entire nation that could lose 3 starters to injury for extended periods and every starter to injury for at least a few games and still end up 12-6 in their league?

WSU had 2 of the 3 injured starters back for the NCAA's. The return of Ron Baker made a huge difference in how the Shox played and how opponents had to defend. Baker and Evan Wessel were the best 3-point shooters on the team. When they were both out, Valley teams just ran zone against WSU. Injuries decimated WSU's outside threats and zone D's cut off the inside game.

During the 3-game losing streak, Tekele Cotton's shot was off. Cotton spent extra hours in the gym to get his shot back and was around 50% from 3 late in the season.


Stop bringing facts to the discussion please.

Thanks.
USA Today Coaches Top 25 Poll Conference Breakdown:

MVC: 1
WCC: 1
Atlantic Ten: 1
MWC: 1
Big East: 1

The Big East is Big Time.
shoxrox
All MVC
All MVC
 
Posts: 868
Joined: November 1st, 2012, 10:39 am

PreviousNext

Return to Missouri Valley Conference Basketball

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Fetz86, purple&orange, tribecalledquest and 143 guests