by Aargh » December 17th, 2014, 10:54 am
The Valley has 4 top-100 teams, 2 of those are top-25 teams. There are 2 in the 100's range and then 4 that are 280+.
Any of the top 4-6 who lose to any of the 280+ teams will see their rpi plummet. That will probably knock Loyola (at 82) out of top-100. Illinois State has a little more breathing room at 54, but may struggle to stay in the top-100.
rpi only matters for the NCAA's and the NIT. UNI and WSU are looking like at-large NCAA teams. Wins against top-100 teams and top-50 teams are big considerations for invites and seedings in the NCAA tourney. Loyola and IlSU staying in the top-100 would be huge. IlSU could be an NIT team, but that's not looking promising.
Any of the top teams losing to any of the bottom might be basis for elimination from either the NCAA or the NIT tourneys.
League rpi is nothing more nor less than the average of the rpi's of the teams in the league. This year the Valley is skewed to the high and low ends. Having 4 teams in the top 100 is on the low side for the Valley's recent history. Having 4 teams at 280+ is to the Valley as an iceberg was to the Titanic.
One team in the polls and one receiving votes is a good year for the Valley. 4 teams in the rpi territory where Valley teams normally be select the opponents to pay for a visit to their campus is a bad year for the Valley.