by pafan » January 4th, 2011, 11:31 pm
After three conference games, here's where I feel teams stand. Let's go in order by current conference record.
Wichita State (3-0):
Remains to be the favorite, although they haven't played a top four team yet. WSU's point margins look good, and their talent looks to be better than most teams.
Missouri State (3-0):
So far, a strong second. The road win at Northern Iowa wasn't hugely convincing, but it was a road conference win.
Creighton (2-1):
Dropped tonight's game to MSU, which is an early indication that the Jays aren't likely to finish in the top 2. Top 3 or 4 still looks very likely for CU.
Southern Illinois (2-1):
I'm convinced their 2-1 mark is a fluke. They should lose 4 or 5 in a row over the next two weeks.
Indiana State (2-1):
Reasonably athletic, experiencing some growing pains and some coaching pains. Their first three games didn't provide a lot of good information, although tonight's game with Illinois State was surprising because of the margin of victory. The game against Northern Iowa will be helpful in getting a better handle on Indiana State.
Evansville (1-2):
Probably won't finish 10th, and some of the old challenges are still affecting the Aces. The Aces don't have the same level of talent as other MVC teams, and they can't make up for it with great gameplaning from the coaching staff. See you Thursday.
Northern Iowa (1-2):
UNI desperately needed to win against Evansville to avoid boo-birds in Cedar Rapids and around the conference - and they did so. UNI may have a chance at an NIT berth, but they won't be able to do that with another loss to SIU.
Drake (1-2):
Likely will have a similar season to Evansville. This might be called a rebuilding year, if there were any evidence that next year would be better (excellent new recruits?)
Illinois State (0-3):
The 0-3 start isn't shocking, but it is likely disappointing. The Redbirds need to win one of their next two games (Wichita, @SIU) in order to avoid Thursday. I think they'll be able to do that.
Bradley (0-3):
Braves haven't really disappointed nor surprised. Most fans are resigned to seeing them in 9th or 10th place.
Predicted finishes:
1-2
WSU
MSU
3-4
UNI
Creighton
5-6
Ind. State
Illl. State
Thursday
UE
So. Ill.
Drake
Bradley
sad Evansville alum