Opening lines given. Home team in CAPS.
NORTHERN IOWA (-5) vs. Indiana State
Both teams coming off tough home BB losses. They Sycamores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. They are 6-2 ATS in conference road games. They are 6-3 ATS as conference underdogs. The Panthers are only 3-5 ATS in conference home games, and only 4-9 ATS as a conference favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. This is tough, but the numbers and trends say you need to play Indiana State and the points.
PREDICTION: Northern Iowa 66-65.
ILLINOIS STATE (-3) vs. Bradley
The Redbirds have lost their last 6 games. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. They are only 2-6 ATS in home games and are only 3-9-1 ATS this year as a favorite (1-3 ATS as conference fav). Bradley is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Braves are 4-4 ATS in conference road games and are 5-8 ATS as a conference underdog, but are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 in that role. Bradley also has revenge for an earlier loss to the Redbirds in this conference rivalry. Given numbers of the last 5 games and the revenge factor we need to play Bradley. PREDICTION: Bradley 70-69.