TylerDurden wrote:VUGrad1314 wrote:Impossible to get an at large? Can we stop with the defeatism please? Just because UNI overscheduled and couldn't handle the load they were given doesn't mean other teams shouldn't do it. Just in 2021 the MVC had two bids and both teams won a game. The freaking OVC got two bids in 2019 with teams that are currently in our league. Those two teams regularly posted at large caliber seasons where they either won the auto bid or barely missed because the rest of their conference was so bad. One of them (Murray State) WINS REGULARLY when they get to the tournament. The WCC recently got 3 teams. The Mountain West got FOUR teams LAST YEAR. The A-10 regularly gets multiple bids. Are these not our peer leagues (outside of the OVC which we are obviously ahead of) or are we really behind them? The bottom of this conference is as strong as it's ever been. Bradley has a litany of good wins if they can shake off the loss to Murray they'll be fine. Missouri State Drake and Indiana State look extremely solid and can be a factor in that discussion if they do well in conference play. There are still opportunities for these teams to build their resumes. This league CAN still get at large bids but it's going to take effort and belief on the part of EVERY Valley school to get it done. I salute Coach Jacobson for what he does every year and wish more schools would emulate it. I believe that we can revive the spirit of the mid 2000s that made me fall in love with this league. When we weren't afraid to punch above our weight and regularly did so quite successfully. Too many coaches and fanbases have gone soft (I get it I'm guilty of it too sometimes--losing a lot will do that to you). But we need to believe in who we once were--who we ARE fundamentally and who we CAN BE again!
This is a romanticized take on the current dynamic in college basketball and in the MVC. This isn't 2006 and, candidly, there isn't a team in this league right now that would finish in the top half of the 2006 MVC.
Punching above your weight requires teams capable of winning those games. The mid-2000s MVC teams were dogs with NBA talent on multiple teams.
Overscheduling doesn't help anyone. You need to play the best teams that you can beat and beat them.
If you look at 2005-06, Indiana State lost 11 conference games in a row, won just four league games and tied for last place. Its nonconference record: 8-1, because David Moss was a really good player. That is what you need.
You don't need to play on ESPN, you need play games you can win.
The MVC is still a good league, but the chances for at-large bids are a slim as ever.
With how our non-con has gone this year, if a team like Indiana St, Drake, Bradley or Missouri St went 16-4 or 17-3 in the conference, that would put then in at large talk (if they finish the non-con strong). It's still totally doable in this day and age for the MVC to put at large caliber teams in the mix. It's just really hard. Going 16-4 or better in this league (especially if its as good as we've looked in the non-con) is going to be damn near impossible and if any one of the teams that I mentioned does it, they'll be something around 27-6ish with probably a NET in the 40s or 50s which would absolutely be in the conversation.
The problem isn't that the MVC doesn't have a chance at getting at larges, its just that generally we don't have teams good enough to earn it. We're deep enough as a conference this year that going 16-4 or 17-3 would look better in the metrics than years past, but it's going to make it much harder to do. That is what it takes. This is the world we live in now. Teams like Bradley, MSU, Drake and Indiana St have had good enough non-cons to give themselves a nonzero chance. You want an at large now? Go out and dominate the valley. If you don't, no one to blame but yourself.