Bracketology 2012-2013

[Pinkie]

Right now the MVC might get three in but the problem is that all the schools still could lose to each other or to teams lower in the mvc plus at least 2 of the 3 will absorb a loss in STL. I worry that when its all said and done we get 2.

[CaliRdBrd]

Lunardi has ISUb dropped to a 12. What happened?

[shockem]

Oh by the way, if you want to have fun, tell me what to do with Virginia's profile.

- Their RPI is 81, which would be highest for an at-large team in history.
- They are 7-3 in the ACC, the #4 conference
- Their SoS is 154, which is awful for an ACC team.
- They are UNDEFEATED against the RPI Top 100 (6-0) and against the RPI Top 50 (3-0)
- They have SIX sub-100 losses
- They have a reasonable collection of signature wins of @Wisconsin, UNC, NC State
- They are WINLESS (0-3) against the 25th strongest conference (CAA) in the country

So tell me what to do. You'd either have to project a team to get an at-large bid with the worst RPI in history, or you have to leave out a team that's 6-0 against the RPI Top 100. Go ahead, tell me.

They haven't played Miami or Duke yet, so those are two games that will give some answers, but my heavens.

Wow, now that is an interesting case. Here's to hoping they go on a massive losing streak and play themselves out of the tourney. And I thought Indiana State's scenario was crazy

Outside looking in at this point. The wins are offset by the losses, which means their overall body is average. The 2 big games coming up wiill enhance their SOS considerably. Winning 1 or both of those games puts them in the dance as long as they don't have add'l bad losses along the way.

[MSUDuo]

What is your "lock" defined as? As in, no matter what happens the rest of the way, they will get in no matter? Or if the season ended today, there isn't a chance they'd be left out?

[isumvc1]

Oh by the way, if you want to have fun, tell me what to do with Virginia's profile.

- Their RPI is 81, which would be highest for an at-large team in history.
- They are 7-3 in the ACC, the #4 conference
- Their SoS is 154, which is awful for an ACC team.
- They are UNDEFEATED against the RPI Top 100 (6-0) and against the RPI Top 50 (3-0)
- They have SIX sub-100 losses
- They have a reasonable collection of signature wins of @Wisconsin, UNC, NC State
- They are WINLESS (0-3) against the 25th strongest conference (CAA) in the country

So tell me what to do. You'd either have to project a team to get an at-large bid with the worst RPI in history, or you have to leave out a team that's 6-0 against the RPI Top 100. Go ahead, tell me.

They haven't played Miami or Duke yet, so those are two games that will give some answers, but my heavens.

here is an article just posted on NBC about UVA and ISU resumes

http://collegebasketballtalk.nbcsports. ... e-resumes/

[FearDaTrees]

Lunardi has ISUb dropped to a 12. What happened?

We beat SIU at home by 1.

[CaliRdBrd]

Lunardi has ISUb dropped to a 12. What happened?

We beat SIU at home by 1.

Supposedly margin of victory doesn't factor into these decisions. Either way, great season for you guys. Keep it rolling (except if we see you in St. Louis).

[TheAsianSensation]

What is your "lock" defined as? As in, no matter what happens the rest of the way, they will get in no matter? Or if the season ended today, there isn't a chance they'd be left out?

I define it as "it will take something that completely goes against all trends we've seen this year from this team". Eventually, that thought merges into the "if the season ended today, they're a lock" thought.

So for example, I had Wichita as a lock, then they started losing. If they continue, they'll be on the bubble, and it will be because their trend goes against the trend they had shown the entire year.

[TheAsianSensation]

Lunardi has ISUb dropped to a 12. What happened?

Nothing. Note that he has a play in game slotted as an 11 seed, better than InSU. This usually means there's bracket conflict that could only be resolved by sliding InSU down a seed line. They're a true 11 on the S-Curve.

Actually on second look, he violates one by having InSu and Creighton in the same regional.

[BCPanther]

Lunardi has ISUb dropped to a 12. What happened?

Nothing. Note that he has a play in game slotted as an 11 seed, better than InSU. This usually means there's bracket conflict that could only be resolved by sliding InSU down a seed line. They're a true 11 on the S-Curve.

Actually on second look, he violates one by having InSu and Creighton in the same regional.

I believe he is correct there. You can have two teams from the same league in the same regional as long as they don't meet before the Sweet 16. I believe that rule was changed when the Big East got 9 that one year.

Indiana State is a 12 because they are the auto-bid right now, they are not an at large by his rules because they would be the 1 seed if the Valley Tournament started today.